Volatility of Stock Prices in Tanzania: Application of Garch Models to Dar Es Salaam Stock Exchange

نویسندگان

چکیده

We use Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models to examine volatility of stock prices for firms listed in the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE). In doing so, both symmetric and asymmetric GARCH are used this study. The descriptive analysis data shows that standard deviation series returns is high, indicating a high level daily fluctuations, log value mean close zero. Our empirical results clearly exhibit evidence clustering, typical feature financial time series. Moreover, our indicate highly leptokurtic, flat tailed consistent with characteristics data. Out all examined, EGARCH (1,1) seem perform plausibly better than others.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

conditional copula-garch methods for value at risk of portfolio: the case of tehran stock exchange market

ارزش در معرض ریسک یکی از مهمترین معیارهای اندازه گیری ریسک در بنگاه های اقتصادی می باشد. برآورد دقیق ارزش در معرض ریسک موضوع بسیارمهمی می باشد و انحراف از آن می تواند موجب ورشکستگی و یا عدم تخصیص بهینه منابع یک بنگاه گردد. هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی کارایی روش copula-garch شرطی در برآورد ارزش در معرض ریسک پرتفویی متشکل از دو سهام می باشد و ارزش در معرض ریسک بدست آمده با روشهای سنتی برآورد ارزش د...

Homicide of children in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

BACKGROUND Although data are sparse, it has been estimated that the highest rates of homicide death amongst children are in Africa. Little information is available on ages 0-14 years. No known quantitative surveillance of early neonaticide (killed at less than one week) has been conducted previously in Africa. METHODS A Violent Death Survey following WHO/CDC Guidelines was completed in Dar es...

متن کامل

Analysis of Stock Market Volatility by Continuous-time GARCH Models

The discrete time ARCH/GARCH model of Engle and Bollarslev has been enormously influential and successful in the modelling of financial data. Recently, Klüppelberg, Lindner, andMaller (2004) introduced the so-called “COGARCH”model as a continuoustime analogue to the GARCH model. Many aspects of the COGARCH have been investigated, including various of its theoretical properties, its relations to...

متن کامل

Predictability of Stock Return Volatility from GARCH Models

This paper focuses on the performance of various GARCH models in terms of their ability of delivering volatility forecasts for stock return data. Volatility forecasts obtained from a variety of mean and variance specifications in GARCH models are compared to a proxy of actual volatility calculated using daily data. In-sample tests suggest that a regression of volatility estimates on actual vola...

متن کامل

Larval Source Management (LSM) in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

A prominent example of LSM in urban sub-Saharan Africa is the Urban Malaria Control Program (UMCP), Dar es Salaam, initiated by the City Council in collaboration with Ifakara Health Institute and overseas academic institutions [1-2]. In 2004, mosquito surveillance systems were established and after one year of intensive baseline data collection (2005-2006), operational larviciding with Bacillus...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Asian journal of economic modelling

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2312-3656', '2313-2884']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.8.2021.91.15.28